Need For a Modus Vivendi in West-Russia Relations

 

23 January 2015

In June 2009 President Obama visited Moscow where he expressed his desire for a “reset” in US-Russia relations. This did not happen.

On 17 December 2010, Muhammed Buazizi lit the flame of the Arab Spring which spread fast.

On 18 March 2011 the UN Security Council adopted Resolution 1973 on Libya. Russia and China abstained. Western military intervention led nowhere.

Then the situation in Syria started to deteriorate. It soon became clear that Russia and China would not allow another “1973”, this time for Syria. The “Geneva Process” which aimed at political/diplomatic solution was fruitless.

Yet, on 14 September 2013 Secretary Kerry and Minister Lavrov were able announce their countries’ agreement on the “Framework for Elimination of Syrian Chemical Weapons”. Continue reading

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Arab Spring: The Libya Lesson

21 January 2015

Measures taken by governments to quell Arab Spring revolts “caused the international community grave concern.” But no other country became the subject of a “UN sanctioned” intervention except Libya. The following may help explain why:
• Qaddafi had few friends if any. Western leaders put up with him for economic interest.
• Libya was very close to Europe and an easy target for military intervention. Involvement of Muslim countries was not needed.
• A successful operation in Libya was also deemed desirable by the French and British governments for internal/external political purposes. After some hesitation the US joined them.
• Libya is an oil-rich country and regime change was expected to create a better environment for foreign investment. Continue reading

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Charlie Hebdo, Unity Rally, Now What?

16 January 2015

The terrorist attacks in Paris were called the 9/11 of France. Then, there was the Unity Rally, a remarkable display of national and international solidarity.
The question, however, remains: What now?
During and after these dastardly attacks, hundreds of people have attempted to analyze the problem. In view of inherent sensitivities they were careful with their language. The words/expressions they most used were the following: the Middle East, alienation, Islamic radicalism, exclusion, jihadism, isolation and “la banlieue”, suburban areas where most of France’s Muslims live.
To me, these are like reference points which help charter a course. Continue reading

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